Int J Biol Sci 2021; 17(6):1581-1587. doi:10.7150/ijbs.58855
Artificial intelligence in the diagnosis of COVID-19: challenges and perspectives
1. Cancer Centre, Institute of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau 999078, Macau SAR, China.
2. Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau 999078, Macau SAR, China.
3. Chongqing Industry & Trade Polytechnic 408000, Chongqing, China.
# Shigao Huang and Jie Yang contributed equally to this work
Huang S, Yang J, Fong S, Zhao Q. Artificial intelligence in the diagnosis of COVID-19: challenges and perspectives. Int J Biol Sci 2021; 17(6):1581-1587. doi:10.7150/ijbs.58855. Available from https://www.ijbs.com/v17p1581.htm
Artificial intelligence (AI) is being used to aid in various aspects of the COVID-19 crisis, including epidemiology, molecular research and drug development, medical diagnosis and treatment, and socioeconomics. The association of AI and COVID-19 can accelerate to rapidly diagnose positive patients. To learn the dynamics of a pandemic with relevance to AI, we search the literature using the different academic databases (PubMed, PubMed Central, Scopus, Google Scholar) and preprint servers (bioRxiv, medRxiv, arXiv). In the present review, we address the clinical applications of machine learning and deep learning, including clinical characteristics, electronic medical records, medical images (CT, X-ray, ultrasound images, etc.) in the COVID-19 diagnosis. The current challenges and future perspectives provided in this review can be used to direct an ideal deployment of AI technology in a pandemic.
Keywords: Artificial intelligence, COVID-19, diagnosis, deep learning, machine learning
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was firstly reported in December 2019 [1-3]. It has caused a large number of deaths and negatively impacted people's lives worldwide, with more than 100 million confirmed cases of the new coronavirus (SARS-Cov-2) and more than 200 million cumulative deaths worldwide as of late January 2021[4, 5]. The patients experience flu-like symptoms such as fever, dry cough, tiredness, difficulty breathing. In more severe cases, the SARS-CoV-2 infection often causes fatal pneumonia in the patients . Although the rapid progress in vaccines, the epidemic continues to spread out more than 200 countries and regions. In some countries, people have to face new lifestyles to combat COVID-19 . Therefore, there is still an imminent need to develop antiviral drugs and medical practices to cure COVID-19 patients . Many researchers from all over the world are seeking the effective techniques to cope with such challenges [8, 9].
In severe infectious disease outbreaks, both hospitals and physicians are suffered with the increasing workloads that weaken their ability to classify and hospitalize the suspected patients. The previous reports indicated that some of patients with early coronaviral infection were negative for CT , limiting the ability of radiologists to reliably rule out disease. While waiting 4-48 hours for confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus by RT-PCR, the infected patients may transmit the virus to the close contacts if insufficient resources are used to separate positive patients with other suspected cases. In one report, the hospital-acquired infection was inferred in approximately 40% of cases . It is imperative to speedily confirm patients for COVID-19 because initial false negative cases may increase the risk of transmission of the virus to others.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been deployed at various levels of the health care system, including diagnosis, public health, clinical decision making, and therapeutics [12, 13]. Particularly, AI algorithm plays an important role in the fast detection of COVID-19 patients during the current pandemic . The number of studies using AI techniques to diagnose COVID-19 rapidly increased in 2020. Most reviews focus on describing diagnosis of COVID-19 from chest CT images using AI technology . Therefore, we will comprehensively review the applications of AI for rapid diagnosis of COVID-19 with different medical analyses as well as discuss their challenges and perspectives in COVID-19. As shown in Fig. 1, it is mainly compiled from two aspects: machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL), including electronic medical records, and medical images (CT, X-ray, ultrasound images, etc.), in clinical COVID-19 diagnosis.
Machine learning-based diagnostic applications
The first priority of ML was suggested as technical support for early detection and diagnosis of infections. A recent study demonstrated that the more accurate diagnosis could be generated using a computational model trained on large clinical datasets . An association between males and higher serum lymphocyte and neutrophil levels was identified by applying ML to reanalyze COVID-19 data from 151 published studies. The COVID-19 patients could be classified into three clinically relevant subtypes based on serum levels of immune cells, gender, and reported symptoms. A sensitivity of 92.5% and a specificity of 97.9% were achieved to discriminate COVID-19 patients from influenza patients using a computational classification model. another study reported that early identification could be performed by a ML model based on the clinical symptoms without CT images at the time of fever clinic admission . Peng M et al reported that 18 diagnostic indicators for COVID-19 were highly associated with a significant diagnosis of COVID-19 using AI screening, which improved the accuracy of the clinical diagnosis . Chen et al described a ML random forest model used to classify COVID-19 clinical types, which achieved >90% predictive accuracy . Zoabi et al generated a ML model that trained on data from 51831 tested individuals in Israel. This model resulted in high accuracy using only eight binary features . A combination of seven ML algorithm based on data from UCLA Health System in United States was established to diagnose COVID-19 in the inpatient setting . In the test set (n=392), the combined model achieved excellent diagnostic metrics compared to RT-PCR. An et al developed five ML algorithms for death prediction in a case dataset that was provided by the Korean National Health Insurance Service (KNHIS) . In prediction of mortality, the sensitivity and specificity exceeded 90% while the areas under the curves (AUC) exceeded 96%.
Chest CT has been used to evaluate the patients with suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection. AI system had equal sensitivity as compared to a senior thoracic radiologist. The radiologists with less expertise in chest imaging demand AI-assisted screening. In a test set of 279 patients, an AI algorithm combining chest CT presentation correctly identified 68%, while radiologists classified all of these patients as COVID-19 negative .
A flowchart of the artificial intelligence methods for COVID-19 diagnosis: machine learning and deep learning were applied in the medical characteristic to diagnosis the COVID-19 infection.(Click on the image to enlarge.)
Application of machine learning-based COVID-19 diagnosis
|Authors||Countries||Data Sources||No. of Patients||Techniques||Performances|
|An et al.||Korea||KNHIS||10237||LASSO, LSVM, SVM with radial basis function kernel, RF, KNN||Sensitivities (90.7% [95% confidence interval: 83.3, 97.3] and 92.0% [85.9, 98.1], respectively) Specificities (91.4% [90.3, 92.5] and 91.8%, [90.7, 92.9], respectively) AUC (0.963 [0.946, 0.979] and 0.962 [0.945, 0.979], respectively)|
|Zoabi et al.||Israel||Israeli Ministry of Health||8393||Gradient boosting with decision tree||0.90 auROC 95% CI: 0.892-0.905|
|Batista et al.||Brazil||Brazilian Ministry of Health||235||Neural networks,RF,LR,SVM,Gradient boosting trees||AUC: 0.85; Sensitivity: 0.68; Specificity: 0.85; Brier Score: 0.16|
|Prefeitura et al.||Brazil||Public Health Department|
|3916||Random forest||Accuracy:0.66 (UI 95%0.62-0.69)Sensitivity:0.65 (UI 95%0.57-0.75);Specificity:0.66 (UI 95%0.60-0.70)|
|Mei et al.||China||18 medical centers|
in 13 provinces in China
|419||CNN, SVM, RF, MLP||AUC 0.92|
|Chen et al.||China||Union Hospital, Wuhan, China||214||RF||Accuracy>95%|
|Li et al.||USA||Public data||413||XGBoost||Sensitivity 92.5%;Specificity 97.9%|
|Avila et al.||Brazil||Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein|
(HIAE - São Paulo, Brazil)
|510||Naïve Bayes Classifier||Sensitivity and Specificity 76.7%|
*Public data:https://github.com/yoshihiko1218/COVID19ML, KNHIS: Korean National Health Insurance Service, SVM: Support Vector Machines, LSVM: Linear support vector machine,NB: Naïve Bayes, RF: Random Forest, LR: Logistic Regression, KNN: K-nearest neighbors, ET: Extremely Randomized Trees, DT: Decision Tree, CNN: Convolutional Neural Networks, MLP: Multi-layer perceptron, LASSO: Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, AUROC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC: Area under the curve
Developed ML models are suitable for surveillance efforts to predict the SARS-CoV-2 infection risk of patients with severe diseases. Monahan et al reported that two unique ML models were generated to predict the risk of the hemodialysis (HD) patients having the undetected SARS-CoV-2 infections . Through analyzing more than ten thousand patients, they identified top predictor of an HD patient having a SARS-CoV-2 infection in the prior week.
Deep learning-based diagnostic applications
DL, as a subset of ML, has been explored extensively in the diagnosis of COVID-19, especially in the field of lung detection images, including CT images, X-ray images and ultrasound images. The details are summarized in Table 2.
Wu et al developed a DL-based screening framework for coronavirus through a multi-view chest CT imaging . The framework trained on multi-view images of chest CT images from two different hospitals in China through a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) variant, ResNet 50, with a total dataset of 495 patient images, including 368 confirmed cases and 127 images of suspected pneumonia cases. Based on DL method, the proposed diagnosis model showed 76% accuracy, 81.1% sensitivity, 61.5% specificity, and 81.9% AUC. Ardakani et al developed a variant system based on CT images in combination with the CNN architectures for COVID-19 diagnostic detection in which ten convolutional neural networks were used to discriminate positive COVID-19 infections from non-infection groups. Among all networks, ResNet-101 showed the best performance with 99.51% accuracy, 100% sensitivity, 99.4% AUC, and 99.02% specificity . Cifci et al diagnosed infections from CT images used AlexNet and Inception-V4, pre-trained models that are widely used in medical image analysis . The dataset consists of a public database of 5800 CT images (4640 CT images, with 4640 training samples and 1160 test sets). The dataset analysis has shown a sensitivity of 94.74% and a specificity of 87.37%.
Hybrid systems show the higher accuracy than a single model. Hasan et al generated a hybrid system that combined Q-deformed entropy and DL features (QDE-DF) with LSTM from extracting deep features of CT images . The dataset contains 321 chest CT samples, including 118 of COVID-19 cases images, 96 images of pneumonia cases, and 107 images of healthy individuals. As the result, 16 core attributes were extracted by the proposed composite model. The analysis achieved 99.68% accuracy in the training and test sets in the ratio of 7:3.
Multitask DL based model can be used to detect COVID-19 lesions on CT scans. A multitask DL model, including segmentation, classification and reconstruction, was used to detect COVID-19 patient and segment COVID-19 lesion from chest CT images . The proposed model was used to analyze a dataset of 1369 patients including 449 patients with COVID-19, 425 healthy individuals, 98 with lung cancer and 397 cases of other diseases. The model had an accuracy of 86%, a sensitivity of 94%, a specificity of 79%, and an AUC of 93%.
Moreover, transfer learning has been applied for the early diagnosis of coronaviruses based on X-ray imaging. Apostolopoulos and Bessiana proposed a system for the automatic diagnosis of COVID-19 cases in which five CNN variants (VGG19, MobileNetv2, Inception, Xception, and Inception-ResNetv2) were used to analyze a dataset of X-ray images from patients with common bacterial pneumonia, confirmed Covid-19 disease, and normal incidents . The dataset analysis suggests that DL with X-ray imaging has a high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity (96.78%, 98.66%, and 96.46%, respectively). A generative adversarial network (GAN) with deep transfer learning has been proposed for coronavirus detection in chest X-ray images . The total number of X-ray images in the collection was 307 and contained four categories: COVID-19, normal, pneumonia bacteria, and pneumonia virus. The models contain the Alexnet, Googlenet, and Restnet18. The accuracy of selecting Alexnet as the primary deep transfer model can reach 80.6% when four categories are included, while the accuracy of selecting Googlenet as the primary model can reach 85.2% when three classes are included. Another COVID-19 diagnosis-Net based on an X-ray image was proposed by Ucar and Korkmaz . Image data from three public datasets obtained 98.26% accuracy, 98.25% specificity, and 97.39% F1-score in the proposed system. In another study, a DarkNet model for automatic COVID-19 detection using chest X-ray images has been developed . The DarkNet model is a classifier used as a "you only look-once" (YOLO) real-time object detection system. The proposed model was evaluated for binary classification (COVID vs. No-Findings, the classification accuracy of 98.08%) and multi-class classification (COVID vs. No-Findings vs. Pneumonia. It has shown a classification accuracy of 98.08%. In addition, the generated heatmaps can assist the clinicians to locate the affected regions on chest X-rays.
Application of deep learning-based COVID-19 diagnosis
|Authors||Data Sources||No. of Images||Type of Images||No. of Classes||Techniques||Type of model||Performances|
|Ardakani et al.||Real-time data fromuniversity hospital||1020 (COVID19=510,non-COVID19=510)||CT||2 (COVID-19,non-COVID19)||AlexNet, VGG16, VGG-19,SqueezeNet, GoogleNet, MobileNet-V2, ResNet-18, ResNet-50, ResNet-101, Xception||Pre-trained model||Accuracy=99.51, Sensitivity=100, Specificity=99.02, Precision=99.27, AUC=99.4, NPV=100|
|Wu et al. ||China Medical University, Beijing Youan Hospital||495 (COVID19=368, otherpneumonia=127)||CT||2 (COVID-19, other pneumonia)||ResNet50||Pre-trained model||Accuracy=76, Sensitivity=81.1, Specificity=61.5, AUC=81.9|
|Cifci ||kaggle.com (benchmarkweb of dataset science)||5800||CT||2 (COVID-19, other pneumonia)||AlexNet, Inception-V4||Pre-trained model||Accuracy=94.74, Sensitivity=87.37, Specificity=87.45|
|Apostolopoulosand Bessiana||COVID-19 X-ray imagedatabase, Kaggledataset*,||1442 (COVID19=224,pneumonia=714,normal=504)||X-RAY||3 (COVID-19, pneumonia, normal)||VGG19, MobileNetv2, Inception, Xception, InceptionResNetv2||Pre-trained model||Accuracy=96.78, Sensitivity=98.66, Specificity=96.46|
|Loey et al. ||COVID-19 X-ray imagedatabase, Dataset*||307(COVID=69, normal=79,pneumonia_bac=79,pneumonia_vir=79)||X-RAY||4 (COVID, normal, pneumonia_ba, pneumonia_vir)||GAN, Alexnet, Googlenet, Resnet18||Pre-trained model||Accuracy=85.2, Precision= 80.6,|
|Hasan et al.||COVID-19 Dataset*, SPIEAAPM-NCI Lung NoduleClassification Challenge Dataset||321 (COVID19=118,pneumonia=96,healthy=107)||CT||3 (COVID19, pneumonia, healthy)||QDE-DF||Customized Model||Accuracy=99.68|
|Amyar et al.||COVID-CT, COVID-19 CTsegmentation dataset*,a hospital named Henri Becquerel Center||1044 (COVID19=449, nonCOVID-19=595)||CT||2 (COVID19, nonCOVID-19)||EncoderDecoder withmulti-layerperceptron||Customized Model||Accuracy=86, Sensitivity=94, Specificity=79, AUC=93|
|Ozturk etal.||COVID-19 X-ray image database , ChestX-ray8 ||1127 (COVID=127,no-finding=500,pneumonia=500)||X-RAY||3 (COVID, nofinding,pneumonia)||DarkNet||Customized Model||Accuracy=98.08, Sensitivity=95.13, Specificity=95.3, Precision=98.03, F1-Score=96.51|
|Rahimzadeh and Attar||COVID-19 X-ray image database , RSNA Pneumonia Detection Challenge dataset ||15085 (COVID19=180, pneumonia=6054, normal= 8851)||X-RAY||3 (COVID-19, pneumonia, normal)||ConcatenatedCNN||Customized Model||Accuracy=99.50, Sensitivity=80.53, Specificity=99.56|
*Kaggle dataset: https://www.kaggle.com/andrewmvd/convid19-x-rays,
Covid-19 Dataset: https://radiopaedia.org,
Archive, C.I. SPIE-AAPM-NCI Lung Nodule Classification Challenge Dataset: https://www.cancerimagingarchive.net,
COVID-19 CT segmentation dataset: http://medicalsegmentation.com/covid19/ .Note: CT: computerized tomography; CNN: Convolutional Neural Network
Challenges and perspectives of machine learning-based COVID-19 diagnosis
|Improve the accuracy of the AI diagnosis||Combine chest imaging with clinical symptoms, exposure history, and laboratory tests in the diagnosis of COVID-19|
|Reduce the false negative diagnosis rate||Provides spare capacity for CT and X-ray imaging scans with the advantages of rapid COVID-19 diagnosis.|
Lung Ultrasonography (LUS) has been used for the detection and management of acute respiratory disorders. A recent study shows that DL techniques may assist clinician for the analysis of LUS images from COVID-19 patients . A model with three different tasks on LUS imaging: frame-based classification, video-level grading and pathological artifact segmentation, was proposed in the diagnosis of COVID-19. It demonstrated accurate prediction and localization of LUS imaging biomarkers in COVID-19 patients.
Challenges and perspectives
AI has great potential and opportunity for rapid analysis of large amounts of data. It has played an important role in the prevention of COVID-19 outbreak . AI models may be as accurate as experienced radiologists to diagnose COVID-19 .
It is noteworthy that although some patients infected with COVID-19 are asymptomatic, they have the potential to become transmitters of the virus [6, 39]. Although the infection can be confirmed by a polymerase chain reaction, COVID-19 patients with pneumonia symptoms may show a pattern on chest X-ray or CT images that are only moderately characteristic for the clinicians . It is difficult to find people who are currently infected with COVID-19 but are asymptomatic . The transmission rate of COVID-19 is determined with the ability to confidently recognize infected patients with low false-negative rates. Meanwhile, an effective control of false positives can avoid unnecessary quarantine of patients and thus further reduce the burden on the health care system.
Biomedical imaging (chest X-ray, CT scan, and ultrasound images, etc.) enables to visualize symptoms of pneumonia. Image processing techniques are attractive in the areas of biomedicine and cancer diagnosis . It is well known that AI-based biomedical image diagnosis has achieved remarkable success. ML and DL methods have become valuable tools for the discovery of various diseases [40, 43-45]. For example, although some patients have already infected by SARS-Cov-2, they show the normal chest CT images. Therefore, the negative predictive value of chest CT images is limited and does not completely rule out infection. The accuracy of the solo AI diagnosis is still challenged. Therefore, to meet clinical needs, AI algorithms is required to combine chest imaging with clinical symptoms, exposure history, and laboratory tests in the diagnosis of COVID-19.
False negative rate is usually high with the laboratory tests, such as nucleotide RT-PCT . Medical image screening can provide an intuitive and accurate diagnosis when it is used as the assisted testing method for COVID-19 . In some epidemic countries, such China and United States, the AI model to diagnose negative sensitivity with CT has been used in the early infections . This new strategy provides spare capacity for CT and X-ray imaging scans with the advantages of rapid COVID-19 diagnosis.
AI model may be as accurate as experienced physicians at diagnosing COVID-19. In this review, we discuss the challenges and perspectives of ML and DL in the COVID-19 as well as the need for further research. The clinical application of AI in the diagnosis of COVID-19 is promising, and additional extensive research is required.
The study is supported by the Science and Technology Development Fund, Macau SAR (File no. FDCT/0015/2018/A1, FDCT/126/2014/A3), the National Key R&D Program of China (2019YFA0904400), the Multi-Year Research Grant of University of Macau (File no. MYRG2019-00069-FHS, MYRG2016-00069-FST), Guangzhou Science and Technology Innovation and Development of Special Funds (201807010004, EF003/FST-FSJ/2019/GSTIC, and EF004/FST-FSJ/2019/GSTI), National Natural Science Foundation of China (31440041), the Project of the Science and Technology Research Program of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission of China (File no. KJQN202003601, KJZD-K201903601).
SH and JY contributed equally to this paper. SH, JY, SF, and QZ conceived the paper. SH and JY wrote the initial draft and edits. All authors approved the final draft of the manuscript. QZ and SF are the supervisors. The corresponding authors are responsible that all listed authors meet authorship criteria.
The authors have declared that no competing interest exists.
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Corresponding authors: Qi Zhao, qizhaoedu.mo; Simon Fong, ccfongedu.mo